Not Enough Meaning
We project our current mindset and assumptions onto the past and future
Outcome bias
Description
The tendency to judge a decision by its eventual outcome instead of based on the quality of the decision at the time it was made.
Outcome bias in business decision
A manager who made a risky investment that paid off is praised as a visionary, while another manager who made a similar well-reasoned risky investment that failed is criticized, regardless of the decision-making process.
Outcome bias in personal life decision
You judge your decision to take a particular route as smart because there was no traffic, even though it was luck.